Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Politics 24 September 08

As the clock counts down toward November, the US Presidential race heats up: Powerline reports that John McCain went "nuclear" on the New York Times:
We all understand that partisan attacks are part of the political process in this country. The debate that stems from these grand and sometimes unruly conversations is what makes this country so exceptional. Indeed, our nation has a long and proud tradition of news organizations that are ideological and partisan in nature, the Huffington Post and the New York Times being two such publications. We celebrate their contribution to the political fabric of America. But while the Huffington Post is utterly transparent, the New York Times obscures its true intentions -- to undermine the candidacy of John McCain and boost the candidacy of Barack Obama -- under the cloak of objective journalism.
"I don't believe that the Times is pulling for Barack Obama." Jack Shafer, Slate, 9-23-08

Wash Post/ABC Survey: Obama Up Nine

The Bono Factor

New York Post / Maggie Haberman reports: “Barack Obama has hit a roadblock as he tries to woo backers of former rival Hillary Rodham Clinton - making no gains among that group since June, a surprising new poll shows.”

New York Sun /Russell Berman reports: “Americans turning on the television the last couple of days could be forgiven if they thought the calendars had been turned back: On every channel, it seemed, were the Clintons.”

Online Tool Estimates Taxes Under McCain, Obama.

McCain by a nose in Virginia.

Deconstructing the polls:
Barack Obama is certainly capable of winning this election. He has a ton of money, the media is a team of Obama cheerleaders, and the public mood is desperate. But the polls released to the public do not reflect the actual level of Obama's or McCain's support, nor do they show an accurate pattern of support growth over time, or properly relay the time and source of momentum shifts and changes in support. When the polls are reverse-engineered and nominal weighting restored, it becomes clear that Barack Obama is depending on a three-tier plan for the election...
Wait until Friday... ...or NOT...

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