Saturday, October 18, 2008

Still Too Early

Readers, with all the polls and constantly-shifting data streams and breakdowns, I've pretty much concluded the US presidential race is a coin toss. 50-50 right now in favor of either Barack Obama or John McCain. Too bad we couldn't get a 5-person "council" to govern the nation: Obama, McCain, Hillary, Palin & Biden! That's just NOT going to happen!

Most polls and pollsters have Obama anywhere from 3 to 15 points in front of McCain. Over at Wake Up America, there's a prediction that McCain will walk away with a decisive victory.

There are behind-the-scenes factors at work, any of which could be a "wild card" skewing the polls. The so-called "race factor," the "working class" factor, the "voters with cellphones" factor, etc. etc. The question is: Do the polls accurately reflect (as they did in the past) a microcosm of the American voting public? No matter who wins in November, we have to take a backwards look at the polls from that point and decide whether or not that system is still a reliable barometer of voter sentiment.

ANN COULTER: 84% SAY THEY'D NEVER LIE TO A POLLSTER...

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